The One Percent Problem: Muslims in the West and the Rise of the New Populists

Muslims pray in the street during Friday prayers near the Poissonniers street Mosque in Paris December 17, 2010.  REUTERS/Charles Platiau  (FRANCE - Tags: RELIGION) - PM1E6CH141E01

Despite Muslims comprising only one to eight percent of the population in various Western countries, their very presence has become one of the defining issues of the populist era, dividing left and right in stark fashion. Right-wing populist parties differ considerably on economic and social policy. But nearly every major right-wing populist party emphasizes cultural and religious objections to specifically Muslim immigration as well as to demographic increases in the proportion of Muslim citizens more generally.

It would be a mistake, however, to view the debate over Islam and Muslims as only that. The rise of anti-Muslim sentiment signals a deeper shift in the party system away from economic cleavages toward “cultural” ones. With this in mind, attitudes toward Muslims and Islam become a proxy of sorts through which Western democracies work out questions around culture, religion, identity, and nationalism.

Focusing on nine European countries and the United States, this project — The One Percent Problem: Muslims in the West and the Rise of the New Populists — will examine how the growth of Muslim minority communities and fears around Islam’s public role are shaping the formation of new “populist” identities and ideologies in Western democracies. This unique focus offers an important entry point to address increasingly salient questions around what it means to be a nation—and who constitutes its members—at a time when elections are increasingly fought around so-called “who we are” questions.

This project is led by Brookings Senior Fellow Shadi Hamid and Visiting Fellow Sharan Grewal, and is supported by the Henry Luce Foundation. It will cover nine European cases — Germany, Austria, Italy, Denmark, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Poland, and Hungary — along with the United States, capturing a wide diversity of experiences and contexts.

Right-wing populism in Germany: Muslims and minorities after the 2015 refugee crisis

The 2015 decision by German Chancellor Angela Merkel to open Germany’s borders opened a new German debate around questions of “Who Are We?”

Anti-immigration party Alternative for Germany (AfD) chairwoman Frauke Petry (R) and party member Armin Paul Hampel (background R) meet with Nurhan Soykan, first deputy chairwoman of the Central Council of Muslims in Germany and Sadiqu Al-Mousllie (2nd L) member of the Syrian opposition in Germany, at a hotel in Berlin, Germany May 23, 2016. REUTERS/Axel Schmidt  - LR1EC5N0S6B8U

RELIGION & POLITICS

Right-wing populism in Germany: Muslims and minorities after the 2015 refugee crisis

Jeffrey Gedmin

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

Bjoern Hoecke, AfD party leader and top candidate for Thuringia, gestures during an election campaign rally ahead of the upcoming Thuringia state elections in Gotha, Germany October 23, 2019. REUTERS/Michael Dalder - RC1B97443CB0

RELIGION & POLITICS

How “populist” is the AfD?

Jeffrey Gedmin

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Gedmin reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for his own country case of Germany.

Muslims in the West and the rise of the new populists: The case of Italy

While the two populist parties currently governing Italy—one right-wing and the other ambiguously left— advance different diagnoses of the relationship between “native Italians” and Muslim minorities, they share a convergent prognosis.

Muslims hold Friday prayers in front of the Colosseum in Rome, Italy October 21, 2016, to protest against the closure of unlicensed mosques.  REUTERS/Tony Gentile - D1BEUIGTQKAA

RELIGION & POLITICS

Muslims in the West and the rise of the new populists: The case of Italy

Manuela Caiani

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

Five-Star Movement activist and comedian Beppe Grillo gestures as he arrives for a rally in the Sicily town of Termini Imerese, Italy October 22, 2012. REUTERS/Massimo Barbanera/File Photo - D1AETJWGKRAB

RELIGION & POLITICS

How Italy’s “all-populist government” viewed Muslims

Manuela Caiani

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Caiani reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for her own country case of Italy.

The new right: Austria’s Freedom Party and changing perceptions of Islam

  • Farid Hafez Senior Researcher – University of Salzburg Senior Research Fellow – Georgetown University, The Bridge Initiative
  • Reinhard Heinisch Professor of Comparative Austrian Politics and Chair of Department of Politics – University of Salzburg
  • Eric Miklin Associate Professor of Political Science – University of Salzburg

Anti-Islam rhetoric has played an increasingly important role in the Freedom Party’s political strategy and has subsequently influenced other political parties and Austria’s broader public discourse around the place of Islam and Muslims.

Supporters of the FPOe Freedom Party attend the final European election rally in Vienna, Austria May 24, 2019. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger - RC11F726B360

RELIGION & POLITICS

The new right: Austria’s Freedom Party and changing perceptions of Islam

Farid HafezReinhard Heinisch, and Eric Miklin

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

Vice Mayor of Vienna Dominik Nepp, Head of Austria's Freedom Party Norbert Hofer and Former Interior Minister Herbert Kickl hold Austrian flags during the final election rally in Vienna, Austria, September 27, 2019. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner - RC19FDB02500

RELIGION & POLITICS

How the center-right co-opts the far-right in Austria

Farid HafezReinhard Heinisch, and Eric Miklin

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Hafez, Heinisch, and Miklin react to the other working papers and discuss what their arguments mean for their own country case of Denmark.

“The biggest problem in the Netherlands”: Understanding the Party for Freedom’s politicization of Islam

In 2017, in the lead-up to elections, Geert Wilders, leader of the Party for Freedom, declared that “the biggest problem in this county is Islamization.” But the party has gone further than most in elevating with almost missionary zeal the question of Islam’s role in Dutch society.

Dutch far-right politician Geert Wilders of the PVV party reacts as a dog barks at him as he campaigns in Valkenburg, Netherlands, March 11, 2017.  REUTERS/Dylan Martinez - RC1F934580E0

RELIGION & POLITICS

“The biggest problem in the Netherlands”: Understanding the Party for Freedom’s politicization of Islam

Koen Damhuis

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

Marine Le Pen, head of France's far-right National Rally (RN) party, Tomio Okamura, leader of Czech far-right Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) party, and Dutch far-right politician Geert Wilders of the PVV, attend the European far-right leaders meeting at Wenceslas Square in Prague, Czech Republic April 25, 2019. REUTERS/David W Cerny - RC1B549ECA30

RELIGION & POLITICS

Why Dutch populists are exceptional

Koen Damhuis

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Damhuis reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for his own country case of the Netherlands.

Imaginary Muslims: How the Polish right frames Islam

Though Muslims count as less than 0.1 percent of Poland’s population, Islam and Muslims have increasingly featured in the country’s political debates. How did anti-Muslim sentiment rise in importance in a country with almost no Muslims?

Supporters attend the convention of the ruling Law and Justice party (PiS) in Warsaw, Poland September 2, 2018. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel - RC1DDF0CF280

RELIGION & POLITICS

Imaginary Muslims: How the Polish right frames Islam

Agnieszka Dudzińska and Michał Kotnarowski

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

A person holds up a wooden cross during a march organized by Poland's ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party to commemorate victims of a plane crash that killed Poland's then-president and 95 other people, and to celebrate 101st anniversary of national independence, a day before the anniversary that will be marked by a mass march organized by far-right groups, in Warsaw, Poland November 10, 2019. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel - RC2K8D92BN55

RELIGION & POLITICS

Islam and Catholicism collide in Poland

Agnieszka Dudzińska and Michał Kotnarowski

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Dudzińska and Kotnarowski react to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for their own country case of Poland.

Anti-Muslim populism in Hungary: From the margins to the mainstream

  • Péter Krekó Director – Political Capital Institute Associate Fellow – JHU SAIS Bologna Policy Institute

Since 2015, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and the Fidesz party have kept immigration on the top of Hungary’s political agenda. In the 2018 elections, the question of Muslim refugees was central in the campaign, with Orban using the issue not just to solidify his base but also to expand his support.

Syrian migrants walk along a railway track after crossing the Hungarian-Serbian border into Hungary, near Roszke, August 26, 2015. Hungary's government has started to construct a 175-km-long (110-mile-long) fence on its border with Serbia in order to halt a massive flow of migrants who enter the EU via Hungary and head to western Europe. REUTERS/Laszlo Balogh - GF10000182998

RELIGION & POLITICS

Anti-Muslim populism in Hungary: From the margins to the mainstream

Péter KrekóBulcsú Hunyadi, and Patrik Szicherle

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban delivers a speech in the Liszt Ferenc Academy of Music during the celebrations of the 63rd anniversary of the Hungarian Uprising of 1956, in Budapest, Hungary, October 23, 2019. REUTERS/Bernadett Szabo - RC16ABF909F0

RELIGION & POLITICS

Islam as the Rorschach-test for populists

Péter Krekó

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Krekó reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for his own country case of Hungary.

Islam as a “floating signifier”: Right-wing populism and perceptions of Muslims in Denmark

In Denmark, right-wing populist readings of Islam as a marker of cultural and societal difference have spilled into the mainstream. Across the spectrum, we are witnessing political convergence towards more restrictive positions on immigration and integration, including the implementation of laws and regulations with broad political support.

People hold banners reading "Refugees and Muslims are welcome" during a memorial service held for those killed on Saturday by a 22-year-old gunman, in Copenhagen February 16, 2015. Danish police said on Monday they had charged two people with aiding the man suspected of shooting dead two people in attacks on a synagogue and an event promoting free speech in Copenhagen at the weekend. The shootings, which Danish Prime Minister Helle Thorning-Schmidt called acts of terrorism, sent shockwaves through Denmark and have been compared to the January attacks in Paris by Islamist militants that killed 17. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger (DENMARK  - Tags: CRIME LAW POLITICS RELIGION CIVIL UNREST)   - LR2EB2G1L133Y

RELIGION & POLITICS

Islam as a “floating signifier”: Right-wing populism and perceptions of Muslims in Denmark

Susi Meret and Andreas Beyer Gregersen

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

Members of the activist group Party Rebels, paste up posters alerting people to an organised protest against the face veil ban in Copenhagen, Denmark, July 23, 2018. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly    SEARCH "DENMARK VEIL" FOR THIS STORY. SEARCH "WIDER IMAGE" FOR ALL STORIES. THE IMAGES SHOULD ONLY BE USED TOGETHER WITH THE STORY - NO STAND-ALONE USES - RC18C98ABA00

RELIGION & POLITICS

Islam and the Danish-Scandinavian welfare state

Susi Meret

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Meret reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for her own country case of Denmark.

Ambivalent nativism: Trump supporters’ attitudes toward Islam and Muslim immigration

  • George Hawley Associate Professor of Political Science – University of Alabama

Immigration is a top concern for Trump supporters, but they are not primarily concerned with Islam per se. Interviewees’ suspicions about Muslims were often tied up with broader concerns about immigration from culturally and linguistically different groups who threatened America’s cohesion.

John Lenges, a resident of Pinellas County who changed parties to vote Republican in 2016, and his sister Jeanne Coffin cheer at the conclusion of U.S. President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign kick off rally in Orlando, Florida, U.S., June 18, 2019.  Picture taken June 18, 2019.   REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC1AE0E19DD0

RELIGION & POLITICS

Ambivalent nativism: Trump supporters’ attitudes toward Islam and Muslim immigration

George Hawley

 Wednesday, July 24, 2019

REACTION ESSAY

Audience members react as U.S. President Donald Trump takes the stage during a campaign rally in Bossier City, LA, U.S., November 14, 2019. Picture taken November 14, 2019. REUTERS/Tom Brenner - RC2IBD9GRWIG

RELIGION & POLITICS

Are Trump supporters anti-Muslim?

George Hawley

 Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Hawley reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for his own country case of the United States.

Muslims and the secular city: How right-wing populists shape the French debate over Islam

  • Catherine Fieschi Chair – Counterpoint Director – Global Policy Institute at Queen Mary University of London

Understanding the relationship between right-wing populists and Islam in France requires keeping in mind three key historical pillars: the Republic’s attitude toward religion of any kind, colonialism and decolonization, and France’s history of anti-Semitism.

Marine Le Pen - Presidente du Rassemblement National

RELIGION & POLITICS

Muslims and the secular city: How right-wing populists shape the French debate over Islam

Catherine Fieschi

 Friday, February 28, 2020

Anti-riot policemen stand in front of the Mosque, as police was deployed in several areas of the city to enforce a ban on protests over an anti-Islam film or against a French magazine that published cartoons mocking the Prophet Mohammed. France's Muslim leaders, on September 21, urged militants not to defy the ban on protests, as a security alert closed the France's embassies across the Islamic world, in Paris, France, on September 22, 2012. Photo by Stephane Lemouton/ABACAPRESS.COM.

FRANCE

How religious legacies shape public debates over Muslim immigration

Catherine Fieschi

 Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Fieschi reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for her own country case of France.

The Rise of Sweden Democrats: Islam, Populism and the End of Swedish Exceptionalism

The humanitarian doctrine of “Swedish Exceptionalism” might have been a point of national pride and a marker of Swedish identity. That capacity has now been challenged by the growing popularity of the nationalist Sweden Democrats.

Sweden Democrats party leader Jimmie Akesson speaks on election evening at Kristallen restaurant in central Stockholm, Sweden September 9, 2018. TT News Agency/Anders Wiklund/via REUTERS      ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY. SWEDEN OUT. NO COMMERCIAL OR EDITORIAL SALES IN SWEDEN.

IMMIGRATION

The Rise of Sweden Democrats: Islam, Populism and the End of Swedish Exceptionalism

Danielle Lee Tomson

 Wednesday, March 25, 2020

People attend a right-wing party Alternative for Sweden protest in Stockholm, Sweden, September 7, 2018. REUTERS/Ints Kalnins

RELIGION & POLITICS

What makes populists more (or less) resilient over time

Danielle Lee Tomson

 Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Tomson reacts to the other working papers and discusses what their arguments mean for her own country case of Sweden.

source https://www.brookings.edu/product/muslims-in-the-west/

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