BY Ian Bremmer
With the election of Donald Trump, the G-zero world is now fully upon us.
The triumph of an “America first” foreign policy marks a fundamental break with decades of U.S. exceptionalism and a consensus view in Washington that U.S. international leadership, however flawed and uneven, is indispensable for international stability.
That in turn is set to bring to an end the 70-year era of Pax Americana, a period in which U.S. hegemony in security, trade, and the promotion of values provided baseline predictability for the global economy. In 2017, we enter a period of deep geopolitical recession.
With these ideas as backdrop, here are the top 10 political risks for the coming year, according to the Eurasia Group — the political risk consultancy I founded and oversee. There are also a few “red herrings,” stories where we see less risk than meets the eye: